SPAL - Cagliari Football prediction

SPAL and Cagliari meet at Stadio Paolo Mazza in a match of the 12th round of Serie A TIM. The history of recent direct clashes is favorable to the visiting team, which has 3 wins in the last 3 games. The last direct confrontation between these two teams, on 04-02-2018, ended the victory of Cagliari by (2-0). In this match the home factor could play an important role, since Cagliari presents significant differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.

Analysis of SPAL
After 4 wins and 7 losses, the home team is in 15th place, having won 12 points. In the last match, they lost with Lazio away by (4-1), after in the previous game to have lost at home, in a game against Frosinone, by (0-3). This is a team that maintains the income when it plays outside its stadium, because in the last 30 games it registers 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses as a visitor; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in his stadium. For the championship, SPAL won 6 points in 15 chances, after 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 games at their stadium. The team conceded goals to their opponents in 7 of their last 10 games in this competition, so they have not been very strong defensively. In 11 games in the competition, he never managed to turn the scoring in the 6 games in which he suffered the first goal. There are 1 highlights in the last 6 home matches in all competitions: he has 3 of his 7 goals in the minutes (76'-90 ').

SPAL enter this unmotivated round after a 4-1 away defeat by Lazio, their seventh defeat in the last 10 league matches: Antenucci scored the only goal of the team. The great strength of the home team is in their ability to drive their offensive attacks through quick transitions: Lazzari is a very fast and strong player in the defense-attack transition. The experienced Petagna is the player responsible for putting the defensive opponent on alert, and his highest quality is the finals: he has scored 3 goals so far. The home coach can not count on suspended Everton Luiz, in addition to Valoti, this injured.

Analysis of Cagliari
The visiting team is currently in 14th place with 13 points, after 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, won at home to Chievo by (2-1). In the last match, lost out to Juventus by (3-1). This is a stronger team when you play in your stadium, because in the last 30 games you have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses as a visitor; against 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in his stadium. In the league, Cagliari won 4 points in 18 chances, after 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 6 games they played as a visitor.

For this competition, you have not won any of the last 4 games outside of your stadium. The team has conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 games, so they have not shown great defensive solidity, but their attack has been regular, as they managed to achieve in 7 of the last 10 games in this competition. In their away games there is a tendency towards few goals, since 13 of their last 21 games finished with Less than 2.5 goals. In 11 games in this competition, he never got around to scoring in the five games in which he conceded the first goal. There are 1 periods in the last 20 matches played as a visitor for all competitions: he scored 5 of his 14 goals between minutes (31'-45 ').

Cagliari enter this round after a 3-1 defeat on their visit to the Juventus field: the only goal of the team was scored by João Pedro. One of the weakest points of the visiting team is in the ability to create danger through counterattacks, and it is very common to watch the team play in a very direct way. The offensive Leonardo Pavoletti is the best finisher of Cagliari with 5 goals scored. The visiting coach will not be able to count on Klavan and Diego Farias for being injured.