Vitória - Bahia Football prediction

Vitória and Bahia play in a match of the 33rd round of Brasileirão Serie A. In the last confrontation between these teams in this competition, on 22-07-2018, Bahia won at home (4-1). The record of recent direct matches favors the visiting team, who in the last 17 matches has won 7, drawn 4 and lost 6. Particular attention is needed for the home / away condition as both teams show significantly different results in their home games and out.

Analysis of Victory
After 9 wins, 7 draws and 16 losses, the home team is in 16th place, having won 34 points. In the last match, he tied with Paraná Clube out (1-1), after having lost at home in a game against Sao Paulo, (0-1). This is a stronger team when you play in your stadium, because in the last 30 games you have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses as a visitor; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in his stadium. In the last 10 home games for the championship, Vitória has won 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, having won 14 points out of 30. In the games played in his stadium there are some more frequent results: at the end of the first 45 '0-0 (6 in 16 matches) and at the end of the match 1-0 (6 in 16 matches). Defensive solidity has not been his strong point, having conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 games in this competition. In his home matches for the competition there is a tendency towards few goals, since 8 of the last 16 that disputed finished with Less than 1.5 goals. In 32 games in this competition, suffered the first goal 15 times and never managed to turn the score.

Vitoria have a bad season in Serie A, have won only 1 of their last eight games and desperately need a win to try to leave the relegation zone. The team has a low quality attack that has scored 31 goals and is the sixth worst of the competition, but the big problem is its fragile defense that suffered 53 goals and is the most leaked national, being a team very disorganized defensively and leaving many spaces, taking time to recover. Playing at home, like Sunday's match, Vitoria have the fourth worst win of the Serie A, the team that lost the most and the second that suffered most, noting that even in their stadium has managed to make good matches. For the classic with Bahia, coach Carpegiani will not be able to count on striker Rhayner due to suspension.

Analysis of Bahia
The visiting team is currently in 11th place with 40 points earned after 10 wins, 10 draws and 12 losses. In the penultimate match, lost out to Corinthians by (2-1). In the last match, he won at home to Chapecoense by (1-0). This is a stronger team when you play in your stadium, because in the last 30 games you have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses as a visitor; against 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in his stadium. In the championship, Bahia won 9 points out of a possible 30 after 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 10 games. In matches played outside the league, the most frequent result at the end of the first 45 'was 0-0, which was verified in 8 of his 16 matches. His attack has scored regularly, as he has scored goals in 8 of the last 10 games for this competition. In 32 games in this competition, suffered the first goal 15 times and never managed to turn the score. There are 1 periods highlighted in the last 16 matches played as a visitor to this competition: scored 4 of his 10 goals between minutes (76'-90 ').

Bahia went up a lot of production in the last rounds, won 3 of their last 4 games and is looking for another positive result to try to get in the fight for a spot in the next South American Cup. The team is medically proficient both offensively and defensively, having scored 33 goals, being the tenth best attack of the competition, and suffered 36 goals, with the tenth defense leaked and these figures help explain the campaign in the middle of the qualifying table. Playing away from home, such as Sunday's match, Bahia have won only 1 of their last 6 games, conceded goals in 5 of them, but have been hammering their net in the last 4 matches, being a more offensive team lately but having left more spaces than usual in his defense. For the classic with Vitória, coach Enderson Moreira should repeat the scoring of the last rounds, since Gilberto, the only injured player of the squad, has been out for some time.