Olympiacos Piraeus vs Real Madrid Basketball Prediction and Betting Tips 23 April 2025

Olympiacos Piraeus vs Real Madrid Basketball Prediction – another EuroLeague quarterfinals series begin on April 23 with Olympiacos Piraeus hosting Real Madrid in Game 1 of their best-of-five series. Olympiacos will look to defend their home court once again, where they’ve been strong all season. Madrid aims to overcome their struggles on the road.

Table of Contents

1 🏀 Olympiacos Piraeus vs Real Madrid Basketball Prediction – EuroLeague Quarterfinals Game 1

🏀 Olympiacos Piraeus vs Real Madrid Basketball Prediction – EuroLeague Quarterfinals Game 1

📆 April 23, 2025 | 🏟️ Peace and Friendship Stadium, Piraeus

Spread: Olympiacos -4 | Total Points: 163.5
Olympiacos home record: 13-4
Real Madrid away record: 7-10

Market	Pick	Confidence	Reason
Spread	✅ Olympiacos -4	⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐	13-4 at home, depth still elite
Total Points	✅ Under 164	⭐⭐⭐⭐	Game 1 nerves, halfcourt pace
Moneyline	✅ Olympiacos to Win	⭐⭐⭐⭐	Home energy + star power

The EuroLeague Quarterfinals tip off with a bang as Olympiacos Piraeus hosts Real Madrid in Game 1 of a best-of-five series. These two giants of European basketball need no introduction.

Olympiacos is 13-4 at home, one of the league’s best records
Real Madrid has been shaky away, with a 7-10 road record
It’s the first game of the series, where Olympiacos MUST win to protect home court
The crowd in Piraeus will be on fire

Despite some injuries, Olympiacos enters as 4-5 point favorites, and there’s a good reason why.

🔴 Olympiacos Piraeus – Still Stacked, Even Without Walkup

Let’s start with the obvious: Thomas Walkup and Luca Vildoza are out, and Moustapha Fall is questionable. That’s a lot of experience and defense missing from the perimeter and interior. But this team is still absolutely loaded. With Evan Fournier, Sasha Vezenkov, Nikola Milutinov, Tyler Dorsey, and Nigel Williams-Goss, this is still a deep, versatile and overall highest quality team.

Olympiacos Key Players:

Evan Fournier – Elite shooter and shot creator, can also run the offense
Sasha Vezenkov – 2023 EuroLeague MVP, stretch 4, elite scorer
Nigel Williams-Goss -Runs the offense in Walkup’s absence. Former Real player.
Tyler Dorsey – Explosive scorer, always dangerous from deep
Nikola Milutinov – Dominant rebounder and interior finisher. One of the best centers in Euroleague when healthy.
Alec Peters, Shaquielle McKissic and Saben Lee – notable mentions on the bench

That’s still one of the deepest and most complete rosters in Europe. While the absence of Walkup hurts their perimeter defense, they can compensate with elite shot-making, rebounding, and team switching schemes. Vezenkov’s return to OLY has been flawless and his chemistry with Milutinov gives Olympiacos arguably the best frontcourt combo in the playoffs.

⚪ Real Madrid – Fully Healthy, But Road Struggles Are Real

Real Madrid enters this game with no major injuries and a solid roster:

Real Madrid Key Players:

Facundo Campazzo – Elite playmaker and the engine of the offense
Dzanan Musa – One of the best wings in Europe
Mario Hezonja – Physical, explosive and confident
Walter Tavares & Vincent Poirier – Twin towers inside
Gabriel Deck, Sergio Llull, Serge Ibaka – Veterans who have been here before

They have size, depth, and experience, but also a 7-10 road record. Up to this point, Real struggled in high-pressure away games this season, especially in places like Belgrade and Istanbul. Piraeus is not any easier venue.

Olympiacos Piraeus vs Real Madrid Basketball Prediction – Key Matchups

🔥 Williams-Goss vs Campazzo

This is where Walkup’s absence is most felt. Campazzo will look to control the tempo and break down Oly’s defense early. But Williams-Goss is a smart player and he’ll have support from Dorsey and McKissic on switches.

🔥 Vezenkov/Peters vs Hezonja/Deck

Massive for both sides. Vezenkov’s shooting stretches defenses, while Hezonja’s explosiveness brings Madrid toughness.

🔥 Milutinov vs Tavares

Elite center duel. If Fall plays, Oly can rotate bigs. If not, Milutinov will need to outwork Tavares and avoid foul trouble. Oly’s rebounding and post scoring depend mostly on this matchup.

📈 Betting Tips – Olympiacos Piraeus vs Real Madrid Basketball Prediction

Spread: Take Olympiacos -4, do not take anything more than that

Olympiacos is:

13-4 at home
Dominant at the Peace and Friendship Stadium in playoff atmospheres
Backed by one of the loudest, most passionate crowds in Europe
Loaded with talent, even without Walkup/Vildoza

If Olympiacos controls the tempo (as they usually do at home), they’ll wear Madrid down physically and pull away late. Take OLY -4, this is the best value and our main Olympiacos Piraeus vs Real Madrid Basketball Prediction.

Total Points: 163.5

Game 1s are often tense, defensive, and physical
Olympiacos plays slower tempo, halfcourt oriented basketball
Last 5 matchups between these teams have averaged ~155 total points

👉 Pick: Under 164, low stake

Moneyline: Who Wins?

Madrid has elite players, it’s not a question. But this game is in Piraeus, where Olympiacos has:

Proven playoff intensity
Fan energy that swings momentum
Big-game experience and execution

Even with missing pieces, this is still a top-2 roster in Europe when healthy. With Fournier, Vezenkov, Milutinov, Dorsey, and Williams-Goss they have more than enough.

👉 Pick: Olympiacos to Win, medium stake