Phillipines Commissioner’s Cup Finals San Miguel Beermen vs Barangay Ginebra San Miguel Game 1 Preview and Prediction

Date/Time: 07-27-2018, 07:00 EDT

Spread: Barangay Ginebra San Miguel +4.5

Total: +196

In Game 1 of the Phillipines Commissioner’s Cup (PBA Commissioner’s Cup) Finals, two teams with identical records in the regular season are clashing, when the fifth-seeded Barangay Ginebra San Miguel (6-5), after eliminating Rain or Shine Elasto Painters in the semifinals, are hosting the sixth-seeded San Miguel Beermen (6-5), who eliminated Alaska Aces in the semifinals.

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel Kings finished the regular season with a 6-5 record and were tied with today’s opponent San Miguel Beermen in the 5^th place of the league table and held that placement by winning the tie-breaker. They have won 10 of their last 11 matches and in their last game they won on the road against Rain or Shine Elasto Painters with a 94-96, eliminating them 3-1 wins. They are led in scoring by Justin Brownlee with 28.5 ppg, adding team high both in rebounding with 12.7 ppg and in assists made, with 7.1 per game.

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San Miguel Beermen finished the regular season with a 6-5 record and were tied with today’s opponent Barangay Ginebra San Miguel in the 5^th place of the league table but ended up 6^th by losing the tie-breaker. They have won 5 of their last 6 matches and in their last game they won at home against Alaska Aces with a 104-99, eliminating them 3-1 wins. They are led in scoring by Renaldo Balkman with 28.4 ppg, adding 4.2 assists and a team high 12.5 rebounds per game.  

In their previous matchup earlier this season, Beermen won on the road with a 97-104 score in overtime. Kings are 4-4 at home this season, while Beermen are 3-2 on the road. Beermen have the second-best offense in the league with 106.4 ppg to Kings’ 98.9, while Kings have the second-best defense, allowing 92.4 ppg to Beermen’s 102.9. Beermen have a better 2-point percentage (51.6% to 49.5%), while Kings have a better 3-point percentage (33.5% to 31.6%). Beermen are better in rebounding (51.4 to 50.9), while Kings are better in assists made (26.4 to 24.2) and in turnovers committed (17.2 to 18.1). Kings have been mediocre at home throughout the season and expect Beermen to win once again on the road this season by more than 5 points.

San Miguel Beermen vs Barangay Ginebra San Miguel Game 1 Prediction: San Miguel Beermen-4.5 (-112)