Bet: Pro Tips for Smarter NFL Wagers
The NFL is the popular American sport for betting. Due to its popularity, the NFL offers diverse ways to place a wager. Bettors can prepare, look at each matchup, study trends, and track line movements before they place a bet.
Your strategy should take care of different factors and tips to be a successful bettor. These tips contribute to the foundation of a bettor’s strategy and give them a chance to win in the long run.
Let’s look at some pro tips for placing a bet.
1. Betting NFL Underdogs
Between the two teams in the field, one team is going to be stronger than the other. The stronger one is considered as favorite as it is favored to win, whereas, the other team is called the underdog. The public tends to bet on favorites, strong teams, or teams with star players, which shades the line.
Betting underdogs can prove to be profitable. Oddsmakers give the underdog an advantage through the point spread.
For example, if you bet an underdog on a +200-money line, then you just need to win the bet one out of three-time to break even.
2. Fading the Public
The idea behind fading the public is to bet the opposite of the majority. Most of the time the public bet on favorites and overs. Fading the public strategy can be profitable if used correctly.
You should first handicap a bet to make sure that you are getting the right odds. You can also follow line movement to get an idea of when you are getting the wrong price to fade the public.
The bet may not always win, but the value achieved means that when the wins come, they make up for losses.
3. Check the Injury Reports
The injury report is an important data source for a better to set a betting line. You should check the injuries, practice status, and game status for all players to decide on betting opportunities.
All the teams are required to provide one injury report every day. The injury report has four possible standard injury designations – out, doubtful, questionable, and probable.
If a player is in the category of probable, then he is most likely playing. A player listed as questionable, may or may not play. It is a 50-50 shot. If a player is in the doubtful category, then the chances are that he will not play. A player listed as out means he is not playing.
4. Look for Reverse Line Movement
The reverse line movement strategy allows the odds movement in the opposite direction. It means that it contradicts the betting percentage in the market.
For example, if a team is receiving 60% or more of the action and the odds move the other direction, then it is a reverse line move.
If you want to use the reverse line movement strategy, then you should first determine the amount of money wagered and the number of wagers on each side of the market and which side the oddsmakers favor.
5. Monitor the Lines Throughout the Week
Compare the NFL lines offered by the various sportsbooks. Sportsbooks usually analyze both teams before releasing football lines on the probability of each team winning.
You need to track point spread, money line, and total betting for every game during the week. These are called the opening lines, which set the NFL odds market for the week. The sportsbooks and the handicappers then adjust the lines throughout the week as the money comes in. This will help you to understand the movement of lines and the reasons behind it.
6. Consider NFL Proposition Bets
A proposition bet focuses on betting on a unique event. It involves betting on the outcome of an event involving a particular player’s performance. For example, betting on a specific quarterback pass completion rate.
Usually, sportsbooks put up the proposition bets to provide bettors as many options as possible. NFL proposition bet is a good option for betters as the lines or odds are better. These bets are popular during the Super Bowl week.
7. Shop for the Best Lines
Line shopping is a multifaceted approach to sports betting. You shop several sportsbooks, follow changes and trends in the line. Line shopping ensures that your breakeven percentage is lower, and you need to win fewer games to turn a profit.
Before you shop for good game odds, you should keep an eye on each sportsbook’s daily odds boosts. Shopping the best lines allows you to build a strong series of bets across multiple sportsbooks.
Final Thoughts
NFL betting is highly profitable for those who know the sort and target expected value. To become a successful better, you must know when the line changes and why. Above are a few good tips that will get your NFL betting season off on the right foot.
You need to learn and understand when to use these tips and strategies to maximize NFL betting profits. Use these tips as a solid foundation and look for other ways as well to become a winning NFL handicapper.
