Spanish ACB San Pablo Burgos vs Obradoiro CAB Preview and Prediction

Date/Time:  09-29-2018, 14:30 EDT

Spread: Obradoiro CAB -5.5

Total: +159.5

Two teams with almost identical records last year that were placed outside the playoff places are clashing in the first week of action of the Spanish Basketball League (ACB or Liga Endesa), when last season’s newcomers and thirteenth San Pablo Burgos are visiting the twelfth last year Obradoiro CAB.

San Pablo Burgos had a 13-21 record last season and finished in the thirteenth place of the league. In their latest matchup last year they snapped a 2-game losing skid with a home victory against Bilbao, 90-86. Obradoiro CAB had a 14-20 record last season and finished in the twelfth place of the league. They lost their last two games last year and in their latest matchup they got defeated by Baskonia at home, 77-83.

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San Pablo Burgos were led in scoring by John Jenkins with 12.7 ppg. He was followed by Deon Thompson with 11.9 ppg and also led the team in rebounding with 6.7 per game, while Corey Fisher added 10.8 ppg and 2.6 assists per game. Obradoiro CAB were led in scoring by Matt Thomas with 15.4 ppg. He also added 2.4 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game, while Artem Pustovyi followed with 11.1 ppg and also led the team in rebounding with 5.9 per game. Eimantas Bendzius added 11 ppg and 4.1 rebounds per game.   

Last year those two squads met twice and each one had been victorious at home. Burgos won with an 86-77 score and Obradoiro with 94-69. Obradoiro had a 9-8 home record last year, while Burgos had a 7-10 road record. San Pablo Burgos had a better offense with 81.5 ppg to Obradoiro CAB’s 77.9, while Obradoiro CAB had a better defense, allowing 80.6 ppg to San Pablo Burgos’ 87.1 (third-worse). San Pablo Burgos had a better accuracy from the field, shooting with 45.5% to Obradoiro CAB’s 44.3%, while Obradoiro CAB had a better accuracy from behind the arc, shooting with 35.9% to San Pablo Burgos’ 32.5%. Both squads were almost equal in every other statistical category including rebounding (31 to 30.9), assists per game (16.1 to 16) and turnovers (12.8 to 13.1). Obradoiro are more experienced and expect them to utilize the home court advantage and get way with a win by more than 6 points today.

San Pablo Burgos vs Obradoiro CAB Prediction: Obradoiro CAB -5.5 (-111)