Turkish BSL Tofas vs Fenerbahce Game 1 Preview and Prediction

Date/Time: 06-01-2019, 11:00 EDT

Spread: Fenerbahce -13.5

Total: +157.5

In game 1 of this Turkish BSL League semifinal, the second-seeded and defending champions Fenerbahce (24-4), after eliminating Turk Telekom in the first round with 2-1 wins, are hosting the third-seeded Tofas (18-9), who had an easier time in the quarterfinals where they eliminated Besiktas with 2-0 wins.

Fenerbahce finished the regular season with a 24-4 record and were placed 2^nd in the league. They have won four of their last five matches and in their last game they won at home against Turk Telekom in game 3 with a 92-59 score. They are led in scoring by Joffrey Lauvergne with 12.6 ppg, adding 5.9 rebounds per game. He is followed by Jan Vesely with 12.2 ppg and a team-best 6.2 rebounds per game, while Kostas Sloukas adds 11.9 ppg and a team-best 4.8 assists per game.

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Tofas finished the regular season with a 18-10 record so far this season and were placed 3^rd in the league. They have back-to-back wins and in their last game they won on the road against Besiktas in game 2 with a 73-82 score. They are led in scoring by Sammy Mejia with 16.9 ppg, adding 3.7 assists per game. He is followed by Diante Garrett with 14.6 ppg and a team-best 6.3 assists per game, while Travis Trice adds 13.6 ppg and 6.3 assists per game.

Fenerbahce have won both previous meetings against Tofas in the regular season (at home by 43 points and on the road by 5). Fenerbahce have a 15-1 home record, while Tofas are 7-8 on the road. Fenerbahce are better both offensively, scoring 87 ppg to Tofas’ 81.6 and defensively, allowing 70.3 ppg to Tofas’ 79. They also have better percentages both in field goals (53.2% to 49.5%) and in 3-pointers (42.3% to 38.9%). Tofas on the other hand are better in assists made (21.7 to 20.7), while both teams are almost equal in turnovers committed (11.4 to 11.5) and grab exactly 29.4 rebounds per game. Bookmakers give Fenerbahce a -13.5 spread but don’t expect them to beat the odds as Tofas will definitely force a closer game than that.

Tofas vs Fenerbahce Game 1 Prediction: Tofas +13.5 (-117)