Date/Time: 07-07-2018 18:00 EDT
Spread: Phoenix Mercury -6.5
Total: +150.5
Two of the worse squads of each conference face off today, when the second-worse in the Western Conference Phoenix Mercury (5-6), looking to bounce back after their latest defeat, are hosting the team with the worse record currently in the league, the Atlanta Dream (3-9), who on the other hand want to turn their latest victory into a streak.
Phoenix Mercury have a 5-6 record (5-5-1 ATS) so far this season and currently sit in the second to last place of the West. In their last game they saw a three-game winning streak getting snapped by losing at home against New York with a 76-80 score, not beating the odds. They are led in scoring by DeWanna Bonner with 19.2 ppg, adding 3 dimes and a team high 7.3 boards per game. She is followed by Brittney Griner with 18.5 ppg and 7.1 boards per game.
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In their three meetings last season the Mercury led the Dream 2-1 wins, winning the only home game with a 104-95 score. Mercury are 4-2 at home so far season, while the Dream are 0-5 on the road. Mercury are better both offensively, scoring 74.5 ppg to Dream’s second-worse of 70.5 and defensively, allowing 75.5 ppg to Dream’s 79.7. They also have better percentages both in field goals (41.4% to 37.8%) and in 3-pointers (34.8% to 30.6%). They are also better both in dimes made (16.7 to 15.7) and in turnovers committed (12.6 to 14.8), while Dream are only better in boards grabbed (34.9 to 31.3). Bookmakers give the Mercury a -6.5 spread and expect them to beat the odds against an inferior Dream squad.
Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction: Phoenix Mercury -6.5 (-108)