Date/Time: 07-19-2017 22:00 EDT
Spread: Phoenix Mercury -9
Total: +169
The second and last teams of the Western Conference are clashing tonight, when the second Phoenix Mercury, who ended a losing streak and want to continue on the winning ways, are hosting the worse team of the West, the Las Vegas Aces, who have been playing much better lately and were running a multi-game streak until their latest defeat.
Aces are 10-13 (12-11 ATS) so far in the league and are sitting on the bottom of the Western Conference. A road defeat by the Sparks in their latest matchup with a 78-99 score ended a 4-game victory streak they were running. Mercury are 15-8 (15-8 ATS) so far in the league and are sitting in the 2nd place of the West. A road victory against the Fever in their latest matchup with a 101-82 score ended a 3-game losing skid they were running.
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This will be the third meeting between those two squads so far this season, with the Mercury having won both matches (at home by 6 points and on the road by 12). Mercury have a 5-3 home record so far, while Aces are 5-7 on the road. Mercury have both a better offense with 83.7 ppg to Aces’ 82.7 and a better defense, allowing 80.7 ppg to Aces' 85.1 (third-worse). Mercury also have a better accuracy from the field, shooting with 45.8% to Aces' 43.7% and from behind the arc, shooting with 36.2% to Aces' 35.2%. Aces grab more boards per game, with 36.9 to Mercury’s 31.6 and commit fewer turnovers (13.7 to 14.3), while both teams are almost equal in assists made, with 20.6 and 20.3). The Aces are playing much better lately and even if they don’t pose a threat in Phoenix, expect them to force a closer game than 9 points, so pick them tonight.
Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction: Las Vegas Aces +9 (-108)